South Dakota logo

South Dakota

16-16
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
10.0%South Dakota
90.0%North Dakota State
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -15.8
PROJECTED TOTAL158.4
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -900
North Dakota State logo

North Dakota State

27-8
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreSouth Dakota 71
Projected Total158.4
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 87

Team Comparison

43.8MMH Power Index59
110.0Offensive Efficiency115.4
110.8Defensive Efficiency100.8
-0.8Net Efficiency14.6
-4.9Strength of Schedule-4.6
-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3
72.4Tempo69.6
50.9%Effective FG%54.5%
16.3%Turnover Rate15.5%
29.8%Offensive Rebound %32.0%
46.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%
-0.6Average Margin10.1
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
10–1
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–43.8), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.0), defensive efficiency (100.8–110.8), net efficiency (14.6–-0.8).
South Dakota COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (46.2–31.3).
Final
South Dakota logo
South Dakota
78—82
North Dakota State logo
North Dakota State
North Dakota State by 4 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South DakotaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State
27-62FG27-62
44.0%FG%44.0%
10-273PT4-20
37.0%3PT%20.0%
14-19FT24-29
74.0%FT%83.0%
32Rebounds42
6Offensive Rebounds11
10Assists14
9Turnovers9
4Steals7
1Blocks1
21Fouls16

Player Box Score

South Dakota
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Chase ForteG247-120-37-963100021
Isaac BrunsG317-163-60-040000017
Paul BrunsGuard295-113-71-2113200014
Kaleb StewartGuard284-93-50-001000011
Dre BullockG244-91-31-230010010
Shey EberweinG230-30-12-21200002
Max BurchillGuard220-10-12-21110002
Ashton SmithF160-10-11-21000001
Jevon HillForward30-00-00-01000000
North Dakota State
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jacari WhiteG355-132-78-1012100020
Tajavis MillerG237-140-15-662000019
Darik DissetteGuard246-100-04-5131100016
Noah FeddersenF193-50-14-472010010
Luke KasubkeGuard201-31-23-33210006
Andy StefonowiczG342-60-30-05300004
Jeremiah BurkeF72-30-00-11000004
Masen MillerGuard381-81-60-02240003

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9
105.5Offensive Efficiency111.0
111.0Defensive Efficiency105.5
-5.4Net Efficiency5.4
51.6%Effective FG%46.8%
54.9%True Shooting %54.1%
12.2%Turnover Rate12.2%
30.6%Free Throw Rate46.8%
43.5%3-Point Rate32.3%
1.11Assist / Turnover1.56
Game Summary
North Dakota State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.