Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Penn State

90.7%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -975

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreIndiana 85

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIndiana

42.3MMH Power Index58.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.4Net Efficiency8.9

5.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%56.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-5.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–117.6), net efficiency (8.9–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–5.2).

Final

Penn State

78—83

Indiana

Indiana by 5 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIndiana

27-51FG29-51

53.0%FG%57.0%

7-183PT10-15

39.0%3PT%67.0%

17-22FT15-25

77.0%FT%60.0%

23Rebounds30

4Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists24

12Turnovers14

10Steals7

4Blocks—

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	37	6-12	4-8	6-7	5	5	6	0	22
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	36	5-10	0-1	6-7	7	1	0	2	16
Zach Hicks	Forward	35	4-8	1-3	1-2	3	4	1	0	10
Freddie Dilione V	G	35	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	2	2	0	10
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	29	5-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2	10
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	15	3-3	0-0	4-4	0	1	0	0	10
Jahvin Carter	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
Kachi Nzeh	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Miles Goodman	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Oumar Ballo	Center	36	8-14	0-0	4-6	12	5	2	20
Trey Galloway	Guard	34	6-11	4-5	0-0	3	9	2	16
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	28	6-11	1-3	0-4	2	2	0	13
Myles Rice	G	23	4-6	2-2	3-6	2	2	2	13
Luke Goode	Forward	35	2-4	2-3	4-4	2	3	0	10
Anthony Leal	Guard	30	1-2	0-0	4-5	4	3	0	6
Kanaan Carlyle	G	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	5
Langdon Hatton	Center	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

112.7Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency112.7

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

59.8%Effective FG%66.7%

63.5%True Shooting %66.0%

17.3%Turnover Rate20.3%

43.1%Free Throw Rate49.0%

35.3%3-Point Rate29.4%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Indiana won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.