South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%South Alabama

58.5%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -141

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 75

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricSouthern Miss

51.4MMH Power Index49.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

6.4Net Efficiency1.2

-3.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

67.4Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%49.9%

12.8%Turnover Rate18.4%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

4.3Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.7), recent form (3.8–3.4), offensive rebounding (32.3–24.9).

Final

South Alabama

88—82

Southern Miss

South Alabama by 6 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATSouthern Miss

29-62FG28-55

47.0%FG%51.0%

10-243PT13-35

42.0%3PT%37.0%

20-28FT13-17

71.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists23

7Turnovers15

10Steals6

2Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Judah Brown	Forward	27	4-11	4-9	6-6	6	1	1	0	18
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	30	5-8	4-6	2-3	2	0	2	1	16
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	37	6-14	2-5	0-2	11	2	2	0	14
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	23	4-8	0-0	5-7	5	1	3	0	13
Myles Corey	G	29	3-7	0-2	5-6	0	9	1	0	11
Cantia Rahming	Forward	17	5-7	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	10
John Broom	G	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
JJ Wheat	G	11	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Jayden Cooper	G	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	39	9-13	0-1	7-9	11	0	0	1	25
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	26	7-13	5-10	2-4	0	1	0	0	21
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	13	3-8	2-7	2-2	0	1	2	0	10
Jett Montgomery	G	17	2-9	2-9	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Christian Watson	G	31	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	4	0	0	5
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	24	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	10	1	0	3
John Wade III	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Trey Alfonso	Guard	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Christian Reid	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jose Benitez	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Brewer Carruth	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

123.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency123.6

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

54.8%Effective FG%62.7%

58.4%True Shooting %65.0%

9.8%Turnover Rate21.1%

45.2%Free Throw Rate30.9%

38.7%3-Point Rate63.6%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.