Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.9%Virginia

32.1%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -212

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreWake Forest 75

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricWake Forest

68.9MMH Power Index57.6

119.0Offensive Efficiency112.4

101.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

17.2Net Efficiency2.7

5.2Strength of Schedule7.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.6Tempo70.2

55.0%Effective FG%52.8%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.5%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.1%

11.6Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–57.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–112.4), defensive efficiency (101.8–109.7), net efficiency (17.2–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.2–5.2), ball security (15.5–16.0), free throw rate (36.1–33.2).

Final

Virginia

83—75

Wake Forest

Virginia by 8 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATWake Forest

29-52FG30-54

56.0%FG%56.0%

10-223PT2-14

45.0%3PT%14.0%

15-20FT13-20

75.0%FT%65.0%

24Rebounds27

3Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists9

8Turnovers10

8Steals4

1Blocks2

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	37	10-14	4-7	3-3	3	5	2	0	27
Dai Dai Ames	G	36	5-11	1-4	3-4	2	3	2	0	14
Andrew Rohde	G	36	5-8	2-4	1-3	4	3	2	0	13
Jacob Cofie	F	26	2-2	0-0	8-10	3	1	1	1	12
Taine Murray	Guard	23	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Elijah Saunders	F	26	3-7	2-4	0-0	6	0	1	0	8
Blake Buchanan	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ishan Sharma	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hunter Sallis	Guard	38	10-17	1-5	4-5	4	3	1	0	25
Cameron Hildreth	Guard	39	9-16	1-5	3-5	3	1	1	0	22
Efton Reid III	Forward	36	5-6	0-0	2-3	10	3	1	1	12
Tre'Von Spillers	F	34	4-9	0-1	1-2	8	1	0	1	9
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	23	2-5	0-2	1-1	1	1	1	0	5
Juke Harris	G	12	0-0	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Parker Friedrichsen	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Omaha Biliew	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

123.9Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency123.9

11.9Net Efficiency-11.9

65.4%Effective FG%57.4%

67.5%True Shooting %59.1%

12.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

38.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

42.3%3-Point Rate25.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Virginia won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.