Texas

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Texas

79.7%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL170.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -393

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas 81

Projected Total170.8

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

TexasMetricArkansas

61.6MMH Power Index69.3

119.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

9.5Net Efficiency12.4

5.3Strength of Schedule8.6

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.2Tempo73.8

55.1%Effective FG%56.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate12.2%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

44.3%Free Throw Rate36.5%

6.6Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–61.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.6), defensive efficiency (109.8–110.1), net efficiency (12.4–9.5).

Texas COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.9–31.8), free throw rate (44.3–36.5).

Final

Texas

81—86

Arkansas

Arkansas by 5 • 78.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TexasTEAM STATArkansas

30-71FG27-58

42.0%FG%47.0%

9-263PT9-17

35.0%3PT%53.0%

12-13FT23-31

92.0%FT%74.0%

39Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists17

10Turnovers12

4Steals6

2Blocks2

24Fouls17

Player Box Score

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Johnson	Guard	38	14-28	7-11	4-4	1	4	2	0	39
Arthur Kaluma	Forward	37	4-14	0-4	5-5	11	3	0	0	13
Kadin Shedrick	Forward	29	4-6	1-1	3-4	8	3	0	1	12
Devon Pryor	F	34	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Jordan Pope	G	35	2-7	1-5	0-0	0	5	2	0	5
Tramon Mark	G	18	1-8	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Jayson Kent	Forward	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Ze'Rik Onyema	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Julian Larry	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	26	5-11	3-6	5-8	7	2	1	1	18
D.J. Wagner	G	39	5-14	2-4	4-6	2	5	2	0	16
Johnell Davis	Guard	36	3-9	1-2	7-8	4	1	0	0	14
Karter Knox	G	41	3-6	1-2	5-6	2	2	0	0	12
Trevon Brazile	F	40	5-6	2-3	0-1	8	2	1	0	12
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	22	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	2	2	1	8
Billy Richmond III	G	21	3-7	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	6

Advanced Game Stats

78.0Possessions78.0

103.8Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency103.8

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

48.6%Effective FG%54.3%

52.5%True Shooting %59.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

18.3%Free Throw Rate53.4%

36.6%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 78.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.