Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%Chicago State

82.6%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL138.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -475

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 63

Projected Total138.6

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 76

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricMercyhurst

36.1MMH Power Index45.5

99.4Offensive Efficiency105.2

114.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

-15.5Net Efficiency3.0

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

66.2Tempo65.9

45.6%Effective FG%50.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.4%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-10.3Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–114.9), net efficiency (3.0–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.7), offensive rebounding (29.1–26.8), free throw rate (30.7–25.4).

Final

Chicago State

68—90

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 22 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATMercyhurst

24-59FG32-53

41.0%FG%60.0%

5-163PT15-25

31.0%3PT%60.0%

15-17FT11-14

88.0%FT%79.0%

24Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists20

6Turnovers11

9Steals2

1Blocks3

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Forrest	G	27	6-11	3-5	4-4	1	1	0	0	19
Quincy Allen	G	31	7-11	0-0	2-3	3	1	3	1	16
Gabe Spinelli	G	36	4-9	1-2	4-4	3	4	1	0	13
Dailliss Cox	F	30	3-9	0-1	2-2	5	1	2	0	8
Matthew Robinson	Guard	35	1-8	1-5	2-2	4	1	0	0	5
Noble Crawford	Forward	29	2-8	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	4
CJ Delancy	F	5	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Alex Raiford	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Joe Spinelli	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeff Planutis	Forward	38	11-16	10-13	0-0	1	1	0	0	32
Bernie Blunt III	G	27	5-7	3-5	5-6	6	3	0	0	18
Aidan Reichert	Forward	35	5-8	0-0	4-6	7	5	2	0	14
Qadir Martin	F	25	5-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	10
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	4	0	1	6
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	24	1-5	0-2	2-2	2	5	0	0	4
Max Jusianiec	G	17	1-3	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Jake Lemelman	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Sean Lang	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Gamble	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

104.8Offensive Efficiency138.7

138.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

-33.9Net Efficiency33.9

44.9%Effective FG%74.5%

50.7%True Shooting %75.4%

9.2%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate26.4%

27.1%3-Point Rate47.2%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.