Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.4%Vermont

24.6%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVermont -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.0

MODEL MONEYLINEVermont -307

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 74

Projected Total141.0

Projected ScoreNJIT 67

Team Comparison

VermontMetricNJIT

53.1MMH Power Index38.5

112.2Offensive Efficiency98.1

104.7Defensive Efficiency107.2

7.5Net Efficiency-9.1

-4.4Strength of Schedule-0.5

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

65.4Tempo68.3

54.1%Effective FG%47.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

32.4%Free Throw Rate34.0%

4.9Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (112.2–98.1), defensive efficiency (104.7–107.2), net efficiency (7.5–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-4.4), offensive rebounding (26.9–26.8), free throw rate (34.0–32.4).

Final

Vermont

71—61

NJIT

Vermont by 10 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATNJIT

23-50FG21-63

46.0%FG%33.0%

7-223PT5-23

32.0%3PT%22.0%

18-27FT14-17

67.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists7

11Turnovers6

4Steals3

7Blocks2

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shamir Bogues	Guard	36	8-13	0-0	6-7	6	3	1	0	22
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	34	5-11	3-7	1-3	9	3	1	6	14
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	34	3-8	2-6	4-7	4	3	1	0	12
Sam Alamutu	G	30	3-3	1-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	8
Jace Roquemore	Guard	28	1-2	0-1	5-6	5	3	1	0	7
TJ Hurley	G	24	3-13	1-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Seth Joba	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Noah Barnett	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sean Blake	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	35	8-20	2-9	2-3	3	2	0	0	20
Ari Fulton	G	36	5-10	1-3	4-4	10	1	1	0	15
Jordan Rogers	F	38	3-7	2-4	4-6	8	0	1	2	12
Sebastian Robinson	G	30	3-13	0-4	2-2	4	2	0	0	8
Tim Moore Jr.	F	26	1-7	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Quentin Duncan	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
John Kelly	F	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Malachi Arrington	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Piggee	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Triston Wennersten	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency107.7

15.2Net Efficiency-15.2

53.0%Effective FG%37.3%

56.5%True Shooting %42.9%

16.2%Turnover Rate9.4%

54.0%Free Throw Rate27.0%

44.0%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Vermont won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.