Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Jacksonville State

68.7%Liberty

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLiberty -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINELiberty -219

Liberty

26-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreLiberty 76

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricLiberty

51.2MMH Power Index53.7

108.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

101.8Defensive Efficiency108.0

6.4Net Efficiency11.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

67.2Tempo65.3

51.0%Effective FG%60.5%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %19.0%

44.5%Free Throw Rate32.1%

4.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–51.2), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.2), net efficiency (11.0–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.0–-2.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–108.0), recent form (-0.3–-4.2), offensive rebounding (31.3–19.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

55—59

Liberty

Liberty by 4 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATLiberty

21-57FG21-49

37.0%FG%43.0%

6-233PT7-24

26.0%3PT%29.0%

7-9FT10-17

78.0%FT%59.0%

35Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists12

11Turnovers10

5Steals6

1Blocks3

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jao Ituka	G	19	4-7	2-5	4-5	1	0	0	0	14
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	40	4-22	3-13	2-2	7	2	0	0	13
Mason Nicholson	F	27	4-9	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	1	8
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	26	4-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	8
Koree Cotton	G	35	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	7
Michael Houge	F	20	1-4	0-0	1-2	7	3	0	0	3
Quel'Ron House	G	25	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Metheny	G	32	4-13	3-11	2-3	4	2	1	0	13
Jayvon Maughmer	Guard	34	5-8	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	0	12
Zach Cleveland	F	31	3-7	0-0	4-8	9	4	1	1	10
Colin Porter	G	35	3-7	2-3	1-2	3	5	2	0	9
Owen Aquino	F	28	4-7	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	2	8
Taelon Peter	Guard	27	1-4	0-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Zander Yates	F	6	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Gabriel McKay	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brett Decker Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

89.1Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency89.1

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

42.1%Effective FG%50.0%

44.9%True Shooting %51.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

15.8%Free Throw Rate34.7%

40.4%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Liberty won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.