Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Abilene Christian

68.0%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTarleton State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINETarleton State -212

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 70

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreTarleton State 76

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricTarleton State

42.4MMH Power Index44.6

101.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.0Net Efficiency1.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.6Tempo72.2

48.9%Effective FG%49.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate42.8%

-2.1Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Abilene Christian

52—67

Tarleton State

Tarleton State by 15 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATTarleton State

21-48FG25-55

44.0%FG%45.0%

4-153PT2-8

27.0%3PT%25.0%

6-13FT15-21

46.0%FT%71.0%

23Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists17

19Turnovers16

4Steals6

4Blocks6

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	27	5-10	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	12
Bradyn Hubbard	F	27	5-8	0-3	1-2	3	1	2	0	11
Quion Williams	G	37	4-10	1-1	0-2	6	0	0	3	9
Yaniel Rivera	G	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	29	1-5	1-4	2-3	3	3	1	0	5
Christian Alston	G	5	1-5	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Dontrez Williams	G	12	1-3	0-2	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Cade Hornecker	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Rich Smith	G	22	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	6	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Sawyer	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colby Tanner	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bubu Benjamin	G	36	7-11	1-1	1-2	6	0	1	2	16
Freddy Hicks	G	33	5-10	1-2	2-4	8	4	0	1	13
Chris Mpaka	F	21	4-9	0-0	4-5	3	1	1	2	12
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	24	3-10	0-3	5-5	2	2	1	0	11
Jordan Mizell	G	36	2-4	0-0	2-4	6	6	1	0	6
Keitenn Bristow	F	24	2-6	0-2	1-1	4	3	1	1	5
Izzy Miles	G	26	2-5	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

75.8Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency75.8

-21.9Net Efficiency21.9

47.9%Effective FG%47.3%

48.0%True Shooting %51.6%

27.9%Turnover Rate23.2%

27.1%Free Throw Rate38.2%

31.3%3-Point Rate14.5%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.