Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.6%Morehead State

80.4%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -410

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 72

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreTennessee State 83

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricTennessee State

47.3MMH Power Index55.4

110.8Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

0.8Net Efficiency8.2

-4.0Strength of Schedule-3.1

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.9Tempo72.4

51.3%Effective FG%50.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

0.5Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (8.2–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–50.9), offensive rebounding (36.4–34.8), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Morehead State

55—64

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 9 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATTennessee State

17-48FG20-42

35.0%FG%48.0%

2-173PT4-12

12.0%3PT%33.0%

19-24FT20-29

79.0%FT%69.0%

28Rebounds32

6Offensive Rebounds5

4Assists10

11Turnovers15

9Steals8

2Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	28	2-5	0-2	6-6	3	2	1	0	10
Dieonte Miles	Forward	22	4-7	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	0	10
Khouri Carvey	F	20	2-4	0-0	5-8	7	0	0	1	9
Steven Clay	G	27	3-8	1-5	0-2	6	0	3	0	7
Jerone Morton	G	27	2-8	0-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
George Marshall	G	15	1-3	0-1	4-4	1	0	1	0	6
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	17	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Anouar Mellouk	F	25	1-6	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Trent Scott	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carlous Williams	F	27	6-9	1-1	4-4	2	1	0	1	17
Knute Wood	Guard	29	2-3	2-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	10
Aaron Nkrumah	G	31	2-7	0-2	5-8	8	2	2	1	9
Josh Ogundele	F	18	3-3	0-0	2-7	7	0	0	0	8
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	15	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	8
Justus Jackson	Guard	34	1-7	1-3	2-2	2	5	0	0	5
Ronald Jessamy	F	18	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	0	5
Travis Harper II	G	21	0-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	2
JC Brooks	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Antoine Lorick III	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

84.5Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency84.5

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

37.5%Effective FG%52.4%

46.3%True Shooting %57.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate22.8%

50.0%Free Throw Rate69.0%

35.4%3-Point Rate28.6%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.