Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Little Rock

51.3%Eastern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Illinois -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Illinois -105

Eastern Illinois

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 69

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 71

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricEastern Illinois

44MMH Power Index39.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.4

-5.2Net Efficiency-4.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

68.5Tempo67.4

50.3%Effective FG%47.5%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

28.6%Free Throw Rate33.7%

-3.6Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Little Rock

60—71

Eastern Illinois

Eastern Illinois by 11 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATEastern Illinois

20-52FG22-51

38.0%FG%43.0%

5-203PT6-14

25.0%3PT%43.0%

15-23FT21-29

65.0%FT%72.0%

30Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists11

19Turnovers16

9Steals12

7Blocks2

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	31	4-8	0-3	7-9	5	2	3	1	15
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	37	5-13	3-7	0-0	8	0	0	3	13
Johnathan Lawson	G	39	4-15	2-9	2-3	3	3	2	1	12
Ante Beljan	F	33	3-5	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	10
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	36	3-7	0-0	2-7	7	2	3	1	8
Isaiah Lewis	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Kristiyan Popov	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Hughes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nikola Milosevic	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Creed Williamson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakyel Shelton	G	33	6-11	4-7	9-13	2	2	4	1	25
Artese Stapleton	Guard	38	8-11	1-2	6-7	5	3	4	0	23
Kooper Jacobi	F	37	5-13	1-3	1-4	9	1	1	0	12
Obadiah Curtis	G	30	3-5	0-1	3-3	0	1	2	1	9
Terry McMorris	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	30	0-4	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	0	0
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	10	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Malik Olafioye	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

89.7Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency89.7

-16.4Net Efficiency16.4

43.3%Effective FG%49.0%

47.7%True Shooting %54.8%

28.0%Turnover Rate24.3%

44.2%Free Throw Rate56.9%

38.5%3-Point Rate27.5%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Eastern Illinois won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.