Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Montana

56.0%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSacramento State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINESacramento State -127

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 79

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreSacramento State 80

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricSacramento State

45.4MMH Power Index43

108.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

3.8Net Efficiency-5.9

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.9

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.2Tempo73.2

56.3%Effective FG%48.5%

19.2%Turnover Rate14.2%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

37.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

2.7Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (108.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (3.8–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–19.2), offensive rebounding (25.1–21.9).

Final

Montana

60—54

Sacramento State

Montana by 6 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATSacramento State

19-38FG21-56

50.0%FG%38.0%

2-103PT4-23

20.0%3PT%17.0%

20-24FT8-13

83.0%FT%62.0%

33Rebounds26

3Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists11

14Turnovers8

5Steals6

5Blocks2

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Whitney	Guard	34	5-6	0-0	8-8	2	4	1	0	18
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	22	4-6	1-2	3-4	3	0	1	2	12
Joe Pridgen	Guard	31	5-6	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	1	11
Malik Messina-Moore	G	26	1-7	0-3	6-6	4	3	0	0	8
Money Williams	G	32	2-7	1-4	2-2	9	1	2	0	7
Kai Johnson	Guard	16	2-4	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	1	4
Austin Patterson	Guard	27	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Amari Jedkins	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jensen Bradtke	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	23	5-14	0-3	6-8	9	0	2	0	16
EJ Neal Jr.	G	39	4-8	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	2	11
Emil Skytta	G	37	3-5	0-0	2-5	1	3	1	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	33	2-9	0-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Bailey Nunn	G	32	2-10	0-5	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Chudi Dioramma	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Leo Ricketts	Guard	8	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Michael Wilson	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Julian Vaughns	Guard	3	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

97.9Offensive Efficiency88.1

88.1Defensive Efficiency97.9

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

52.6%Effective FG%41.1%

60.7%True Shooting %43.4%

23.2%Turnover Rate12.9%

63.2%Free Throw Rate23.2%

26.3%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Montana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.