Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -114

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricPortland State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

9.5Net Efficiency9.1

-3.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.1Tempo70.1

55.1%Effective FG%51.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.5Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

52—69

Portland State

Portland State by 17 • 58.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATPortland State

21-50FG28-61

42.0%FG%46.0%

4-193PT4-16

21.0%3PT%25.0%

6-13FT9-13

46.0%FT%69.0%

25Rebounds43

5Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists12

8Turnovers5

5Steals3

4Blocks5

11Fouls16

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	21	6-11	1-1	2-8	7	2	0	0	15
Patrick McMahon	G	22	4-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	8
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	19	4-7	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Tyler Patterson	Guard	25	3-9	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Brian Goracke	Forward	11	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Sam Lecholat	Forward	25	1-3	0-2	1-2	3	0	2	1	3
Jabe Mullins	Guard	18	1-4	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Bryce Zephir	G	29	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	4	1	0	2
Chika Nduka	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Jed Miller	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
BJ Kolly	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	37	7-13	0-2	2-3	4	1	2	1	16
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	32	6-8	0-0	0-2	17	0	0	2	12
Terri Miller Jr.	F	20	6-9	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	1	12
Cole Farrell	G	25	3-7	2-3	2-2	4	0	0	0	10
Hayden Curtiss	Center	16	2-5	1-3	4-4	3	0	0	1	9
Jaylin Henderson	G	30	2-7	1-4	0-0	5	4	0	0	5
Qiant Myers	Guard	32	1-8	0-1	1-2	1	6	0	0	3
Kelcy Phipps	G	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

58.2Possessions58.2

89.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency89.3

-29.2Net Efficiency29.2

46.0%Effective FG%49.2%

46.3%True Shooting %51.4%

13.5%Turnover Rate8.7%

26.0%Free Throw Rate21.3%

38.0%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.40

Game Summary

Portland State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 58.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.