UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%UC San Diego

53.3%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -114

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Northridge

53.4MMH Power Index50

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

100.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-0.6

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.8Tempo75.9

53.1%Effective FG%51.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

5.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.7–105.2), net efficiency (7.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (32.9–26.9), free throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

77—71

Cal State Northridge

UC San Diego by 6 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Northridge

26-62FG25-55

42.0%FG%45.0%

13-323PT7-23

41.0%3PT%30.0%

12-20FT14-17

60.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists19

9Turnovers16

12Steals6

2Blocks3

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	32	8-15	0-2	4-7	7	4	2	0	20
Nordin Kapic	F	29	4-10	3-6	4-8	4	1	1	1	15
Hayden Gray	Guard	37	5-14	3-8	0-0	4	5	2	0	13
Tyler McGhie	Guard	37	4-11	2-8	2-2	1	0	2	0	12
Justin Rochelin	G	18	3-9	3-6	0-0	5	2	2	0	9
Chris Howell	G	30	1-2	1-1	2-3	5	4	2	1	5
Aidan Burke	G	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Maximo Milovich	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	33	7-10	0-0	6-6	11	4	2	1	20
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	37	4-10	4-8	2-2	3	2	2	0	14
PJ Fuller II	Guard	30	4-9	2-6	4-4	3	3	0	0	14
Tyler Beard	Guard	22	3-8	0-3	1-1	3	6	0	0	7
Grady Lewis	F	9	3-4	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	6
Mahmoud Fofana	F	35	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	1	4
Scotty Washington	G	26	1-8	1-6	1-2	1	3	1	0	4
Judson Martindale	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

108.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency108.0

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

52.4%Effective FG%51.8%

53.8%True Shooting %56.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate22.2%

32.3%Free Throw Rate30.9%

51.6%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.78Assist / Turnover1.19

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.