Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Cal Poly

74.2%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -288

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 86

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Santa Barbara

46.5MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

-3.8Net Efficiency7.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.6Tempo68.5

52.2%Effective FG%54.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

Cal Poly

77—96

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 19 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

29-69FG34-63

42.0%FG%54.0%

7-303PT14-28

23.0%3PT%50.0%

12-15FT14-18

80.0%FT%78.0%

34Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists23

15Turnovers15

9Steals10

2Blocks2

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	29	10-17	2-6	1-1	4	2	3	0	23
Jarred Hyder	Guard	32	6-16	2-9	3-3	5	1	2	0	17
Peter Bandelj	G	29	6-15	1-5	1-2	7	0	0	0	14
Mac Riniker	Guard	18	1-1	0-0	5-6	5	0	1	2	7
Isaac Jessup	Guard	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Luka Tarlac	G	12	2-2	0-0	1-1	2	0	2	0	5
Hayden Jory	Guard	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cayden Ward	G	27	1-9	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Guzman Vasilic	G	18	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	8-11	2-3	1-2	5	4	4	0	19
Cole Anderson	Guard	33	6-9	4-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	16
Deuce Turner	G	23	4-11	2-5	4-4	4	6	0	0	14
Colin Smith	F	22	4-8	2-4	3-5	6	2	3	0	13
Kenny Pohto	Forward	23	5-7	0-0	2-3	6	1	0	0	12
Stephan Swenson	Guard	23	3-4	2-3	2-2	1	8	2	0	10
Max Murrell	Forward	21	3-5	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	8
Ben Shtolzberg	G	9	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Zion Sensley	G	9	0-4	0-3	0-0	7	0	0	1	0
David Pickles	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ariel Bland	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Sheldon	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Henry Hartwell	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elia Bongiorno	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

98.8Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency98.8

-24.4Net Efficiency24.4

47.1%Effective FG%65.1%

50.6%True Shooting %67.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate19.6%

21.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

43.5%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.