Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.2%Cal State Bakersfield

81.8%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -10.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -449

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 84

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricLong Beach State

32.2MMH Power Index41.1

100.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

112.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

-12.4Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

73.0Tempo72.2

46.4%Effective FG%51.5%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

43.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

-9.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–112.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.3), free throw rate (43.8–31.1).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

88—87

Long Beach State

Cal State Bakersfield by 1 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATLong Beach State

30-62FG25-59

48.0%FG%42.0%

10-193PT11-27

53.0%3PT%41.0%

18-25FT26-31

72.0%FT%84.0%

29Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists18

9Turnovers13

6Steals4

5Blocks4

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	36	14-23	1-5	8-11	5	3	1	1	37
Corey Stephenson	G	31	4-14	3-3	4-4	2	2	1	0	15
Kadar Waller	G	36	2-2	1-1	3-6	4	3	1	0	8
Marvin McGhee IV	G	20	3-8	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	2	8
CJ Hardy	G	32	3-5	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	26	2-4	0-0	3-4	3	1	2	1	7
Marvin McGhee III	G	32	2-5	2-5	0-0	6	1	0	1	6
Tom Mark	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Wainwright	G	44	7-12	6-10	2-3	5	1	0	0	22
Devin Askew	G	43	4-14	3-8	8-8	4	8	2	1	19
Andrew Nagy	Forward	29	5-7	2-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Austin Johnson	Not Available	26	6-14	0-1	1-2	6	1	0	0	13
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	28	3-5	0-0	6-6	10	2	0	3	12
Kam Martin	G	37	0-5	0-5	7-10	2	4	2	0	7
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Christian Richardson	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cam Denson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

118.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

117.1Defensive Efficiency118.4

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

56.5%Effective FG%51.7%

59.6%True Shooting %59.0%

12.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

40.3%Free Throw Rate52.5%

30.6%3-Point Rate45.8%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.