Mount St. Mary's

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.7%Mount St. Mary's

79.3%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -383

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 66

Projected Total142.0

Projected ScoreFairfield 76

Team Comparison

Mount St. Mary'sMetricFairfield

42.6MMH Power Index50.1

100.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

103.2Defensive Efficiency105.4

-3.0Net Efficiency4.2

-3.1Strength of Schedule-3.4

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

67.9Tempo67.8

51.0%Effective FG%49.1%

22.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-2.1Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.6), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.2), net efficiency (4.2–-3.0), ball security (15.0–22.4).

Mount St. Mary's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–105.4), strength of schedule (-3.1–-3.4), recent form (6.4–3.3).

Final

Mount St. Mary's

62—69

Fairfield

Fairfield by 7 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mount St. Mary'sTEAM STATFairfield

24-51FG26-63

47.0%FG%41.0%

11-253PT12-31

44.0%3PT%39.0%

3-3FT5-8

100.0%FT%63.0%

39Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists14

18Turnovers6

5Steals8

2Blocks3

12Fouls8

Player Box Score

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dallas Hobbs	G	23	6-8	2-3	1-1	3	3	1	0	15
Carmelo Pacheco	G	35	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	3	1	0	12
Dola Adebayo	F	30	5-10	0-2	2-2	13	0	0	2	12
Jedy Cordilia	Forward	35	3-7	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	0	6
Xavier Lipscomb	G	35	2-7	2-3	0-0	5	5	1	0	6
Patrick Haigh	G	10	2-5	2-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Arlandus Keyes	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Malcolm Dread	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Wilson	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	37	8-15	2-5	2-3	5	5	4	0	20
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	36	5-9	3-6	1-2	1	1	2	2	14
Jamie Bergens	Guard	34	5-10	2-5	1-2	6	3	0	0	13
Braden Sparks	G	24	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	23	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Deon Perry	Guard	21	1-8	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	3
Peyton Smith	F	11	1-5	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
Isaac Munkadi	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Makuei Riek	Guard	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

96.7Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency96.7

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

57.8%Effective FG%50.8%

59.1%True Shooting %51.6%

28.4%Turnover Rate9.3%

5.9%Free Throw Rate12.7%

49.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.