Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.2%Arkansas State

7.8%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1182

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 89

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 73

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUL Monroe

57.7MMH Power Index30.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency101.1

105.3Defensive Efficiency117.1

7.8Net Efficiency-16.0

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

73.3Tempo71.7

52.7%Effective FG%48.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate40.6%

5.8Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

Arkansas State

94—67

UL Monroe

Arkansas State by 27 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

37-77FG25-61

48.0%FG%41.0%

13-403PT9-19

32.0%3PT%47.0%

7-9FT8-8

78.0%FT%100.0%

46Rebounds30

18Offensive Rebounds8

23Assists17

3Turnovers8

6Steals2

4Blocks3

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	29	7-15	4-12	3-3	3	3	3	0	21
Taryn Todd	Guard	24	6-12	2-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	14
Izaiyah Nelson	F	35	6-15	0-1	1-1	19	1	0	4	13
Derrian Ford	G	28	5-8	2-5	0-0	8	1	0	0	12
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	13	4-7	2-5	1-1	2	3	0	0	11
Kobe Julien	Forward	20	3-10	1-6	1-2	4	1	0	0	8
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	31	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	10	2	0	6
Avery Felts	Guard	3	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Josh Hill	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Johnson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cody Head	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Kameron Johnson	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyreese Watson	G	36	8-14	1-2	2-2	4	7	1	0	19
Makai Willis	C	40	5-14	2-3	2-2	14	1	0	0	14
Micah Caster	G	33	3-8	3-5	4-4	0	2	0	0	13
Coltie Young	Guard	39	4-10	3-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	11
AD Diedhiou	Forward	25	3-6	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	6
Jerry Ngopot	F	15	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	2
Jalen Bolden	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Ajay Tew	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

143.3Offensive Efficiency102.1

102.1Defensive Efficiency143.3

41.2Net Efficiency-41.2

56.5%Effective FG%48.4%

57.8%True Shooting %51.7%

4.5%Turnover Rate12.3%

11.7%Free Throw Rate13.1%

51.9%3-Point Rate31.1%

7.67Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.