James Madison

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%James Madison

54.6%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -120

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJames Madison 72

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

James MadisonMetricTexas State

52.3MMH Power Index49.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency107.7

109.4Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.1Net Efficiency4.3

1.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

7.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

67.5Tempo68.6

53.3%Effective FG%51.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.0%

0.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

James Madison HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJames Madison holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.3–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.7), strength of schedule (1.2–-4.7), shooting efficiency (53.3–51.3).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–109.4), net efficiency (4.3–1.1), recent form (9.1–7.9).

Final

James Madison

93—102

Texas State

Texas State by 9 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

James MadisonTEAM STATTexas State

31-72FG37-64

43.0%FG%58.0%

9-333PT5-10

27.0%3PT%50.0%

22-26FT23-32

85.0%FT%72.0%

38Rebounds37

17Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists13

8Turnovers8

5Steals6

2Blocks3

25Fouls17

Player Box Score

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Hutchins-Everett	Center	35	8-13	0-1	6-6	12	1	1	2	22
Mark Freeman	Guard	41	6-19	4-12	3-6	0	4	2	0	19
Bryce Lindsay	G	36	7-17	3-12	2-2	2	1	0	0	19
AJ Smith	F	32	5-6	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	11
Eddie Ricks III	F	35	3-6	0-2	2-2	10	1	0	0	8
Xavier Brown	G	48	1-9	1-4	3-4	3	3	0	0	6
Justin Taylor	G	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Noah Williams	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	4
Will Lovings-Watts	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	37	7-10	0-0	9-12	6	3	1	2	23
Coleton Benson	G	35	7-11	3-6	4-5	3	3	0	0	21
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	42	8-9	2-3	1-3	5	3	1	1	19
Mark Drone	G	37	6-13	0-0	6-6	1	2	2	0	18
Joshua O'Garro	G	46	5-7	0-0	2-4	6	2	1	0	12
Nate Deer	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Kaden Gumbs	G	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Austin Green	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Christian Turner	Forward	16	0-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Drue Drinnon	Guard	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

123.5Offensive Efficiency135.5

135.5Defensive Efficiency123.5

-12.0Net Efficiency12.0

49.3%Effective FG%61.7%

55.1%True Shooting %64.4%

10.6%Turnover Rate10.6%

36.1%Free Throw Rate50.0%

45.8%3-Point Rate15.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Texas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.