Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Georgia State

83.8%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia Southern -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia Southern -517

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 72

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 83

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricGeorgia Southern

38.9MMH Power Index49.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency112.3

107.5Defensive Efficiency110.6

-6.2Net Efficiency1.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

69.5Tempo72.0

45.3%Effective FG%52.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

37.4%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-4.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Georgia Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorgia Southern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.3–101.3), net efficiency (1.7–-6.2), recent form (1.7–-10.9).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.6), strength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2).

Final

Georgia State

75—76

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern by 1 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

31-59FG29-64

53.0%FG%45.0%

8-153PT12-31

53.0%3PT%39.0%

5-13FT6-10

38.0%FT%60.0%

31Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists18

10Turnovers11

6Steals6

4Blocks5

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	37	9-14	2-3	1-3	7	2	0	2	21
Zarique Nutter	F	23	5-9	0-0	4-9	1	2	2	0	14
Nick McMullen	Forward	28	6-9	0-0	0-1	9	0	0	1	12
Toneari Lane	G	38	4-11	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	1	11
Jelani Hamilton	G	28	5-11	1-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Malachi Brown	G	31	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	3
Malik Ferguson	G	6	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Clash Peters	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adante' Holiman	G	34	8-13	6-10	2-2	2	2	1	0	24
Nakavieon White	F	26	6-13	2-4	4-6	1	2	0	0	18
Eren Banks	G	30	6-9	1-3	0-2	3	3	0	1	13
Tyson Brown	F	28	3-5	0-0	0-0	10	1	1	1	6
Braylhan Thomas	G	7	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Bradley Douglas	G	31	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	7	4	0	3
Dontae Horne	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Nate Brafford	F	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Eugene Brown III	Forward	18	1-9	0-6	0-0	7	1	0	1	2
Collin Kuhl	F	12	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

113.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency113.6

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

59.3%Effective FG%54.7%

57.5%True Shooting %55.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.7%

22.0%Free Throw Rate15.6%

25.4%3-Point Rate48.4%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.