Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.0%Troy

51.0%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -104

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 76

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSouthern Miss

54.1MMH Power Index49.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

8.7Net Efficiency1.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

70.4Tempo70.4

52.1%Effective FG%49.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.1Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (8.7–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–2.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Troy

70—58

Southern Miss

Troy by 12 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSouthern Miss

21-63FG20-58

33.0%FG%34.0%

7-263PT7-24

27.0%3PT%29.0%

21-27FT11-19

78.0%FT%58.0%

46Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists10

10Turnovers16

12Steals5

7Blocks5

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	31	7-13	2-4	9-10	5	2	1	0	25
Tayton Conerway	G	36	5-20	1-6	0-0	7	3	5	1	11
Thomas Dowd	F	33	3-7	0-3	5-5	12	1	2	0	11
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	28	2-6	1-4	3-4	4	1	0	2	8
Cooper Campbell	G	12	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Theo Seng	F	15	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	5
Victor Valdes	F	12	0-3	0-2	2-4	3	0	1	0	2
Randarius Jones	C	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Jackson Fields	F	21	0-3	0-1	0-2	3	0	0	4	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jerrell Bellamy	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	38	5-12	0-1	5-9	8	1	0	3	15
Jett Montgomery	G	20	4-8	3-7	2-2	2	0	0	0	13
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	20	3-8	1-3	3-3	2	1	1	0	10
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	23	3-10	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	25	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	4
Brewer Carruth	G	17	2-6	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Jose Benitez	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
John Wade III	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	0
Christian Watson	G	13	0-4	0-1	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

98.0Offensive Efficiency81.2

81.2Defensive Efficiency98.0

16.8Net Efficiency-16.8

38.9%Effective FG%40.5%

46.2%True Shooting %43.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate22.5%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.8%

41.3%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.70Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Troy won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.