Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Iowa

38.4%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -160

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 73

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Team Comparison

IowaMetricNorthwestern

64.2MMH Power Index55.4

118.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

13.2Net Efficiency1.8

5.3Strength of Schedule5.6

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

63.0Tempo65.6

56.6%Effective FG%51.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

8.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.8), net efficiency (13.2–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.3), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Iowa

57—68

Northwestern

Northwestern by 11 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATNorthwestern

21-58FG22-52

36.0%FG%42.0%

8-253PT9-23

32.0%3PT%39.0%

7-10FT15-23

70.0%FT%65.0%

32Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists16

7Turnovers7

4Steals4

1Blocks5

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Thelwell	Guard	33	5-7	4-4	0-0	1	3	1	0	14
Josh Dix	G	34	3-12	2-7	2-2	4	2	0	0	10
Payton Sandfort	Forward	30	3-13	0-4	3-4	9	3	0	0	9
Pryce Sandfort	F	18	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Even Brauns	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Brock Harding	G	26	2-7	0-2	0-1	4	7	2	0	4
Ladji Dembele	F	25	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	4
Seydou Traore	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Carter Kingsbury	G	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Riley Mulvey	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
K.J. Windham	G	27	6-10	4-7	4-6	5	2	0	0	20
Nick Martinelli	F	39	5-14	0-1	6-6	9	3	0	0	16
Justin Mullins	G	31	3-7	2-4	2-5	3	3	0	0	10
Ty Berry	Guard	39	3-8	2-6	0-0	6	4	2	0	8
Luke Hunger	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	4
Matthew Nicholson	Center	17	0-0	0-0	3-4	6	3	1	3	3
Jordan Clayton	G	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	10	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

93.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

111.7Defensive Efficiency93.6

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

43.1%Effective FG%51.0%

45.4%True Shooting %54.0%

11.5%Turnover Rate11.5%

17.2%Free Throw Rate44.2%

43.1%3-Point Rate44.2%

2.43Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.