App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%App State

56.6%Marshall

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -130

Marshall

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreMarshall 76

Team Comparison

App StateMetricMarshall

54.2MMH Power Index52

110.9Offensive Efficiency114.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.3

9.2Net Efficiency4.4

-4.2Strength of Schedule0.9

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

64.9Tempo70.7

51.1%Effective FG%55.2%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate29.7%

6.0Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.3), net efficiency (9.2–4.4), recent form (7.0–-4.9).

Marshall COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–110.9), strength of schedule (0.9–-4.2), shooting efficiency (55.2–51.1).

Final

App State

57—75

Marshall

Marshall by 18 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATMarshall

18-50FG30-71

36.0%FG%42.0%

9-213PT10-25

43.0%3PT%40.0%

12-21FT5-8

57.0%FT%63.0%

36Rebounds43

13Offensive Rebounds18

8Assists18

15Turnovers7

3Steals8

5Blocks9

11Fouls19

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	36	5-11	2-4	7-10	4	1	0	2	19
Dior Conners	G	33	4-7	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	11
CJ Huntley	Forward	32	4-13	2-5	1-2	10	3	0	1	11
Jamil Muttilib	G	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	21	1-5	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	3
Alonzo Dodd	G	18	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-1	3-6	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Wilson	C	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Anthony Alston	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Gibbs	Forward	16	6-9	4-4	0-0	5	1	1	1	16
Jalen Speer	G	36	6-16	2-10	0-0	2	5	1	0	14
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	23	5-11	1-2	1-2	7	0	1	4	12
Dezayne Mingo	G	33	4-10	0-1	2-3	11	5	1	0	10
Mikal Dawson	Guard	30	3-6	3-4	0-0	7	3	1	0	9
Erich Harding	F	17	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Nate Martin	Forward	15	2-4	0-1	2-3	1	2	2	3	6
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Wyatt Fricks	F	9	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kai Spears	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Will Moore	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaiden White	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Creighton Thieneman	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

90.6Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency90.6

-28.6Net Efficiency28.6

45.0%Effective FG%49.3%

47.5%True Shooting %50.1%

24.2%Turnover Rate11.0%

42.0%Free Throw Rate11.3%

42.0%3-Point Rate35.2%

0.53Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Marshall won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.