Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Miami

61.7%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -161

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 76

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 79

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricNorth Carolina

65.5MMH Power Index65.2

117.8Offensive Efficiency115.5

103.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

14.8Net Efficiency11.7

3.6Strength of Schedule7.6

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.2Tempo69.0

55.5%Effective FG%54.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate38.1%

10.3Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–65.2), offensive efficiency (117.8–115.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–103.8), net efficiency (14.8–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–3.6), ball security (13.9–16.2), free throw rate (38.1–37.9).

Final

Miami

73—92

North Carolina

North Carolina by 19 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATNorth Carolina

29-68FG33-56

43.0%FG%59.0%

9-303PT10-18

30.0%3PT%56.0%

6-7FT16-24

86.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists17

10Turnovers12

9Steals1

5Blocks3

15Fouls7

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	34	12-21	1-3	0-1	5	5	1	2	25
Brandon Johnson	Forward	39	7-17	2-9	4-4	7	3	2	0	20
Austin Swartz	G	28	3-7	3-5	0-0	1	0	1	1	9
AJ Staton-McCray	G	22	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	1	7
Jalil Bethea	G	19	1-10	1-6	2-2	5	0	1	0	5
Kiree Huie	F	16	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	4
Divine Ugochukwu	G	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	3
Paul Djobet	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	29	9-10	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	19
Drake Powell	Guard	27	5-6	2-3	4-4	6	0	0	1	16
RJ Davis	Guard	33	4-12	3-6	2-2	4	3	0	0	13
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	33	4-6	2-2	1-2	10	4	0	0	11
Ian Jackson	G	13	4-8	1-2	2-3	2	0	0	1	11
Seth Trimble	G	23	2-3	2-3	4-6	4	3	1	0	10
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	4-8	0-1	1-2	1	5	0	0	9
Jalen Washington	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	2
Cade Tyson	G	4	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

104.4Offensive Efficiency131.6

131.6Defensive Efficiency104.4

-27.2Net Efficiency27.2

49.3%Effective FG%67.9%

51.2%True Shooting %68.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

10.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

44.1%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.