American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%American University

64.0%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -178

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreColgate 77

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricColgate

48.2MMH Power Index48.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency111.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.0

4.8Net Efficiency2.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

67.5Tempo68.4

52.6%Effective FG%54.5%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.0%

3.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

American University

67—59

Colgate

American University by 8 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATColgate

25-51FG23-51

49.0%FG%45.0%

12-263PT8-26

46.0%3PT%31.0%

5-8FT5-8

63.0%FT%63.0%

28Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists17

13Turnovers14

8Steals6

1Blocks2

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	22	8-10	4-5	0-0	5	1	1	1	20
Greg Jones	F	31	4-7	2-4	2-2	6	2	0	0	12
Matt Mayock	F	22	2-5	2-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	8
Wyatt Nausadis	G	13	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Elijah Stephens	Guard	30	3-8	1-2	0-2	1	5	3	0	7
Colin Smalls	Guard	23	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Eric Michaels	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Geoff Sprouse	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	3	2	0	3
Lincoln Ball	Guard	24	0-2	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	1
Mason Whittaker	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chandler Baker	Guard	30	5-11	3-7	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Parker Jones	G	26	5-10	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	1	13
Jalen Cox	G	28	4-9	0-2	2-2	2	4	3	1	10
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	32	3-11	2-9	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Jeff Woodward	Forward	29	2-4	0-0	2-4	6	5	0	0	6
Kyle Carlesimo	G	20	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Sam Wright	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Julian Scott	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Josh Ahayere	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Brady Cummins	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

105.0Offensive Efficiency92.5

92.5Defensive Efficiency105.0

12.5Net Efficiency-12.5

60.8%Effective FG%52.9%

61.1%True Shooting %53.8%

20.4%Turnover Rate21.9%

15.7%Free Throw Rate15.7%

51.0%3-Point Rate51.0%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

American University won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.