UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%UConn

21.9%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -357

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 83

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreProvidence 75

Team Comparison

UConnMetricProvidence

70.2MMH Power Index54.2

116.3Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.4Defensive Efficiency113.2

17.9Net Efficiency1.8

6.3Strength of Schedule4.0

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

66.2Tempo74.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

UConn

75—63

Providence

UConn by 12 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATProvidence

28-52FG20-50

54.0%FG%40.0%

9-203PT8-20

45.0%3PT%40.0%

10-15FT15-23

67.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists13

11Turnovers7

3Steals7

7Blocks2

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	32	10-13	0-0	4-5	18	0	2	6	24
Alex Karaban	F	39	6-13	2-4	3-3	5	0	1	0	17
Liam McNeeley	Forward	35	5-10	2-5	2-3	3	3	0	0	14
Solo Ball	G	21	5-9	4-7	0-0	5	0	0	0	14
Hassan Diarra	Guard	36	2-5	1-2	0-1	4	10	0	0	5
Samson Johnson	Center	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jaylin Stewart	F	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jayden Ross	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ahmad Nowell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Aidan Mahaney	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Youssouf Singare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Abraham	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Pierre	G	30	3-9	2-4	2-3	1	1	0	0	10
Ryan Mela	G	25	2-2	1-1	4-7	4	0	2	1	9
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	22	4-6	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	19	3-3	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	1	8
Justyn Fernandez	G	16	2-6	2-4	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	35	2-8	1-2	2-4	1	2	0	0	7
Christ Essandoko	F	20	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	2	2	0	6
Bensley Joseph	Guard	31	1-12	1-6	0-0	4	5	2	0	3
Kieran O'Haire	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Luke Fonts	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

124.0Offensive Efficiency104.1

104.1Defensive Efficiency124.0

19.8Net Efficiency-19.8

62.5%Effective FG%48.0%

63.4%True Shooting %51.7%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.7%

28.8%Free Throw Rate46.0%

38.5%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

UConn won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.