Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.4%Lafayette

84.6%Boston University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston University -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEBoston University -549

Boston University

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 68

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreBoston University 80

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricBoston University

39.6MMH Power Index50.3

102.9Offensive Efficiency115.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency113.1

-7.4Net Efficiency2.2

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.7

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency11.2

67.5Tempo65.4

49.4%Effective FG%58.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %27.4%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.2%

-5.0Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boston University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoston University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.3–39.6), offensive efficiency (115.3–102.9), net efficiency (2.2–-7.4), recent form (11.2–-6.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–113.1), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.7), ball security (15.4–17.7).

Final

Lafayette

64—66

Boston University

Boston University by 2 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATBoston University

23-50FG25-54

46.0%FG%46.0%

7-223PT8-21

32.0%3PT%38.0%

11-18FT8-13

61.0%FT%62.0%

33Rebounds28

6Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists14

13Turnovers9

4Steals6

4Blocks1

14Fouls20

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	35	8-12	3-5	5-9	4	1	0	0	24
Caleb Williams	G	35	5-14	3-10	2-2	8	3	0	0	15
Justin Vander Baan	C	34	4-7	0-0	3-5	8	5	0	4	11
Andrew Phillips	G	32	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Ryan Pettit	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	3	3	0	5
Luka Savicevic	G	26	1-4	0-3	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
TJ Berger	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Misha Bednostin	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malik Rasul	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Folabomi Fayemi	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boston University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Brewster	Guard	29	4-8	3-5	3-5	2	4	3	0	14
Kyrone Alexander	G	27	4-6	2-2	2-2	3	2	1	0	12
Ben Defty	F	22	5-9	0-0	1-1	7	2	0	1	11
Malcolm Chimezie	F	18	4-9	0-0	0-1	1	2	0	0	8
Nico Nobili	Forward	30	2-4	0-1	2-4	11	1	0	0	6
Azmar Abdullah	G	22	2-8	2-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Ben Palacios	Guard	21	3-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Michael McNair	G	31	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

97.9Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency97.9

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

53.0%Effective FG%53.7%

54.7%True Shooting %54.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.8%

36.0%Free Throw Rate24.1%

44.0%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Boston University won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.