Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Chicago State

53.3%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Francis -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Francis -114

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 73

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 75

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricSaint Francis

36.1MMH Power Index32.7

99.4Offensive Efficiency101.2

114.9Defensive Efficiency114.7

-15.5Net Efficiency-13.5

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.3

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

66.2Tempo70.6

45.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate18.3%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-10.3Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Francis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Francis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (101.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (114.7–114.9), net efficiency (-13.5–-15.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–45.6).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (36.1–32.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.3), recent form (-4.3–-10.5).

Final

Chicago State

71—80

Saint Francis

Saint Francis by 9 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATSaint Francis

29-60FG29-62

48.0%FG%47.0%

11-253PT6-21

44.0%3PT%29.0%

2-2FT16-24

100.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists13

17Turnovers10

8Steals14

3Blocks3

20Fouls8

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Allen	G	43	9-19	4-11	0-0	7	1	0	1	22
Noble Crawford	Forward	34	6-11	4-5	0-0	3	0	2	0	16
Dailliss Cox	F	41	6-12	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	1	12
Matthew Robinson	Guard	42	3-8	2-5	2-2	10	3	3	1	10
Gabe Spinelli	G	43	4-7	0-0	0-0	2	7	0	0	8
Greg Spate	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Joe Spinelli	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Alex Raiford	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	38	8-16	1-5	5-5	4	4	2	0	22
Chris Moncrief	G	30	4-6	0-1	4-8	3	1	5	1	12
Daemar Kelly	G	34	4-7	1-3	2-2	6	1	2	0	11
Jeremy Clayville	G	19	4-7	3-5	0-0	0	1	2	0	11
Valentino Pinedo	F	37	4-11	0-0	2-5	10	0	1	2	10
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	34	3-8	1-5	1-2	7	5	1	0	8
Aidan Harris	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Victor Payne	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

97.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency97.0

-12.3Net Efficiency12.3

57.5%Effective FG%51.6%

58.2%True Shooting %54.5%

23.0%Turnover Rate13.8%

3.3%Free Throw Rate38.7%

41.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.