Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%Vermont

76.5%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -326

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 66

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 74

Team Comparison

VermontMetricUMBC

53.1MMH Power Index59.1

112.2Offensive Efficiency113.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.0

7.5Net Efficiency14.0

-4.4Strength of Schedule-5.6

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

65.4Tempo65.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

32.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

4.9Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

Vermont

79—69

UMBC

Vermont by 10 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATUMBC

29-60FG24-53

48.0%FG%45.0%

9-253PT10-19

36.0%3PT%53.0%

12-17FT11-19

71.0%FT%58.0%

40Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists17

7Turnovers5

2Steals5

4Blocks1

10Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Hurley	G	35	7-12	5-10	4-4	6	2	0	0	23
Sam Alamutu	G	31	5-9	0-0	2-2	11	2	0	1	12
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	33	3-11	2-7	3-6	9	0	1	2	11
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	35	4-9	1-6	0-0	6	1	0	0	9
Sean Blake	G	26	3-9	0-0	2-3	2	6	1	0	8
Jace Roquemore	Guard	12	3-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Shamir Bogues	Guard	20	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	3	0	1	5
Noah Barnett	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	37	7-15	3-6	4-4	5	3	1	0	21
Marlon Short	Guard	36	6-11	2-2	2-6	1	3	2	0	16
Ace Valentine	G	25	3-8	2-4	0-0	2	5	0	0	8
Josh Odunowo	F	34	2-4	0-1	3-6	10	3	0	0	7
Louie Jordan	F	23	2-3	1-2	2-3	4	2	0	1	7
Devan Sapp	Guard	22	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Regimantas Ciunys	F	23	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

126.2Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency126.2

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

55.8%Effective FG%54.7%

58.0%True Shooting %55.6%

11.1%Turnover Rate8.1%

28.3%Free Throw Rate35.8%

41.7%3-Point Rate35.8%

2.14Assist / Turnover3.40

Game Summary

Vermont won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.