Richmond

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.9%Richmond

83.1%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -492

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRichmond 69

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreDayton 79

Team Comparison

RichmondMetricDayton

50.2MMH Power Index59.9

111.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

107.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.0Net Efficiency7.0

0.3Strength of Schedule5.7

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.9Tempo68.3

52.8%Effective FG%52.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.5%Free Throw Rate47.6%

2.8Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–50.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.3), net efficiency (7.0–4.0), strength of schedule (5.7–0.3).

Richmond COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.3–108.5), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.0), ball security (14.1–16.9).

Final

Richmond

64—74

Dayton

Dayton by 10 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RichmondTEAM STATDayton

23-64FG21-60

36.0%FG%35.0%

7-313PT9-31

23.0%3PT%29.0%

11-15FT23-33

73.0%FT%70.0%

36Rebounds49

4Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists14

11Turnovers14

7Steals7

3Blocks6

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Richmond

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dusan Neskovic	Forward	37	6-16	2-6	3-4	4	0	0	0	17
Mike Walz	C	43	5-14	1-6	4-5	7	5	1	2	15
Mikkel Tyne	G	50	6-13	1-6	0-0	7	1	1	0	13
B. Artis White	Guard	46	3-14	1-8	2-4	4	3	4	0	9
Jack D'Entremont	Forward	19	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Collin Tanner	G	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	1	3
Jason Roche	Guard	25	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Jonathan Beagle	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Soulis	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	43	3-9	1-5	11-14	11	3	2	0	18
Nate Santos	Forward	42	6-12	2-6	4-5	8	3	1	0	18
Malachi Smith	G	36	5-11	3-8	1-2	5	4	0	0	14
Zed Key	Forward	29	1-7	0-0	4-5	7	1	2	6	6
Javon Bennett	G	42	1-7	1-7	2-2	4	2	0	0	5
Amaël L'Etang	F	21	2-4	0-0	1-5	3	1	0	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Posh Alexander	Guard	13	1-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Jaiun Simon	F	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

82.7Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency82.7

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

41.4%Effective FG%42.5%

45.0%True Shooting %48.9%

14.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

23.4%Free Throw Rate55.0%

48.4%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.