Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -34.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -9900

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 57

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 91

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricNew Mexico

23MMH Power Index63.7

91.3Offensive Efficiency114.8

118.5Defensive Efficiency100.2

-27.2Net Efficiency14.6

6.2Strength of Schedule2.0

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

67.4Tempo70.7

49.0%Effective FG%53.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.8%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-18.3Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (114.8–91.3), defensive efficiency (100.2–118.5), net efficiency (14.6–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–2.0).

Final

Air Force

71—92

New Mexico

New Mexico by 21 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATNew Mexico

25-56FG34-64

45.0%FG%53.0%

8-213PT4-18

38.0%3PT%22.0%

13-19FT20-25

68.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists16

20Turnovers12

5Steals12

3Blocks4

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Walker	F	27	7-10	0-0	2-3	7	1	3	1	16
Will Cooper	F	28	4-5	3-3	3-3	4	0	0	0	14
Chase Beasley	Guard	28	4-6	0-1	2-2	7	3	1	2	10
Luke Kearney	F	23	2-6	1-5	3-4	3	1	0	0	8
Kyle Marshall	G	30	3-7	1-1	0-2	6	9	0	0	7
Ethan Taylor	Guard	28	3-14	1-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Wesley Celichowski	C	11	1-2	1-1	3-5	1	0	0	0	6
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	21	1-5	1-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Beau Becker	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Byron Brown	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	37	8-14	0-2	7-8	1	6	2	0	23
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	25	5-9	1-3	4-7	5	2	0	0	15
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	30	7-8	0-0	0-0	13	1	2	3	14
Tru Washington	G	28	5-12	1-5	3-4	4	3	3	0	14
CJ Noland	Guard	20	5-8	0-1	4-4	1	1	3	0	14
Braden Appelhans	G	12	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Filip Borovicanin	F	19	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jovan Milicevic	F	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Ibrahima Sacko	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Kayde Dotson	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quinton Webb	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

92.8Offensive Efficiency120.3

120.3Defensive Efficiency92.8

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

51.8%Effective FG%56.3%

54.6%True Shooting %60.6%

26.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.