Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%Ball State

88.1%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -740

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 65

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreBowling Green 80

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricBowling Green

41.3MMH Power Index54.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.1

-3.0Net Efficiency13.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-4.7

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.4Tempo72.2

48.3%Effective FG%53.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

33.0%Free Throw Rate38.7%

-2.0Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–104.7), net efficiency (13.5–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-4.7).

Final

Ball State

52—61

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 9 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATBowling Green

20-59FG23-56

34.0%FG%41.0%

6-233PT5-19

26.0%3PT%26.0%

6-7FT10-12

86.0%FT%83.0%

36Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists10

10Turnovers8

2Steals6

5Blocks5

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	30	6-12	3-8	0-0	4	2	0	1	15
Payton Sparks	Center	23	4-10	0-0	6-6	7	2	0	1	14
Juanse Gorosito	G	28	3-8	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Ben Hendriks	Center	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
TJ Burch	G	14	2-5	1-1	0-1	3	3	0	0	5
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	20	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	2	0	2
Mason Jones	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Fatt Hill	G	34	0-8	0-4	0-0	7	1	0	2	0
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	21	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joey Hart	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javontae Campbell	G	34	10-18	1-3	5-5	2	3	3	0	26
Marcus Johnson	F	31	6-11	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	15
Jamai Felt	F	22	4-4	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	1	8
Derrick Butler	Guard	33	1-11	1-6	2-3	4	3	0	2	5
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	27	2-4	0-1	0-0	9	1	0	1	4
DaJion Humphrey	G	37	0-7	0-4	2-2	5	1	1	1	2
Braelon Green	G	16	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

81.3Offensive Efficiency95.3

95.3Defensive Efficiency81.3

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

39.0%Effective FG%45.5%

41.7%True Shooting %49.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate12.6%

11.9%Free Throw Rate21.4%

39.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.