UNC Asheville

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%UNC Asheville

81.9%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -452

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 72

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreWinthrop 83

Team Comparison

UNC AshevilleMetricWinthrop

47.2MMH Power Index56.2

107.5Offensive Efficiency115.6

106.8Defensive Efficiency104.3

0.7Net Efficiency11.3

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.6

-5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

68.3Tempo72.4

52.0%Effective FG%51.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

40.2%Free Throw Rate44.4%

0.5Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (115.6–107.5), defensive efficiency (104.3–106.8), net efficiency (11.3–0.7).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-3.6), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.2).

Final

UNC Asheville

90—103

Winthrop

Winthrop by 13 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC AshevilleTEAM STATWinthrop

36-63FG34-62

57.0%FG%55.0%

12-313PT12-22

39.0%3PT%55.0%

6-11FT23-30

55.0%FT%77.0%

25Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists19

16Turnovers14

9Steals11

3Blocks2

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Marsh	G	33	11-21	3-9	2-5	5	7	3	0	27
Toyaz Solomon	F	35	9-11	0-0	2-3	3	1	1	2	20
Kameron Taylor	G	28	7-10	2-3	1-1	2	0	1	1	17
Josh Banks	Guard	24	6-11	4-9	1-2	4	0	0	0	17
Fletcher Abee	Guard	28	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	0	2	0	6
Connor Dubsky	G	11	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Greg Gantt Jr.	Forward	34	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	6	2	0	0
Jemal Davis	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Julian Clarke	PG	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
K.J. Doucet	Forward	32	8-14	3-6	11-11	7	3	0	0	30
Nick Johnson	Not Available	31	6-14	2-4	4-7	5	2	7	1	18
Kelton Talford	Not Available	32	5-9	0-0	4-5	7	0	0	0	14
Bryce Baker	G	27	4-8	4-7	1-2	6	2	1	0	13
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	22	5-7	1-1	1-3	4	7	0	0	12
Ryan Jolly	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Tommy Kamarad	F	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Logan Duncomb	C	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Wilson	G	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	3	2	0	3
Paul Jones III	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Yoro Diallo	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

118.7Offensive Efficiency135.9

135.9Defensive Efficiency118.7

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

66.7%Effective FG%64.5%

66.0%True Shooting %67.5%

21.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

17.5%Free Throw Rate48.4%

49.2%3-Point Rate35.5%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.