UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UCF

69.0%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -223

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 75

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreTCU 82

Team Comparison

UCFMetricTCU

57.1MMH Power Index59.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

3.3Net Efficiency7.5

6.6Strength of Schedule4.6

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

71.2Tempo70.2

53.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

2.4Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–57.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–3.3), recent form (2.2–-3.8).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.2), strength of schedule (6.6–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.5).

Final

UCF

78—89

TCU

TCU by 11 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATTCU

27-72FG33-69

38.0%FG%48.0%

8-283PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

16-20FT17-28

80.0%FT%61.0%

42Rebounds49

16Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists17

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

5Blocks10

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	37	7-16	1-5	5-6	3	4	1	0	20
Keyshawn Hall	F	34	3-17	0-1	8-8	13	2	1	0	14
Mikey Williams	G	25	4-7	3-5	0-0	2	4	1	2	11
Moustapha Thiam	C	33	4-9	0-3	2-4	10	1	1	3	10
Nils Machowski	G	11	4-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	9
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	18	2-6	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Dallan Coleman	Guard	12	1-5	0-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Dior Johnson	G	6	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tyler Hendricks	G	21	1-4	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
JJ Taylor	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vasean Allette	PG	35	6-14	1-3	4-4	7	9	1	1	17
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	28	6-6	0-0	4-7	11	1	1	2	16
David Punch	F	25	6-7	1-1	1-2	8	1	1	3	14
Micah Robinson	F	14	5-9	1-2	1-1	5	0	0	0	12
Jace Posey	G	24	4-8	0-1	2-6	5	1	1	0	10
Noah Reynolds	Guard	27	3-10	3-8	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Trazarien White	Forward	24	2-10	0-4	5-8	2	2	0	0	9
Malick Diallo	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	4	2
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

102.8Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency102.8

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

43.1%Effective FG%52.2%

47.9%True Shooting %54.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate13.3%

27.8%Free Throw Rate40.6%

38.9%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

TCU won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.