Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Morgan State

49.6%Maryland Eastern Shore

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMaryland Eastern Shore -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL144.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMorgan State -102

Maryland Eastern Shore

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 72

Projected Total144.8

Projected ScoreMaryland Eastern Shore 73

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricMaryland Eastern Shore

37.2MMH Power Index32.5

105.1Offensive Efficiency97.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency107.0

-4.2Net Efficiency-9.7

-9.5Strength of Schedule-4.5

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.4

71.6Tempo66.2

48.6%Effective FG%49.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate23.8%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate29.6%

-3.0Average Margin-6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morgan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorgan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.2–32.5), offensive efficiency (105.1–97.3), net efficiency (-4.2–-9.7), recent form (2.1–-8.4).

Maryland Eastern Shore COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.0–109.3), strength of schedule (-4.5–-9.5), shooting efficiency (49.6–48.6).

Final

Morgan State

75—72

Maryland Eastern Shore

Morgan State by 3 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATMaryland Eastern Shore

26-52FG26-63

50.0%FG%41.0%

3-113PT10-25

27.0%3PT%40.0%

20-26FT10-14

77.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists16

13Turnovers14

4Steals7

4Blocks6

15Fouls25

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daniel Akitoby	F	38	8-11	0-0	7-9	10	4	1	1	23
Kiran Oliver	G	33	6-8	2-4	3-3	4	0	0	3	17
Kameron Hobbs	Guard	38	4-9	1-3	6-6	4	1	2	0	15
Rob Lawson	G	35	3-5	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	9
Will Thomas	Forward	27	4-10	0-1	0-2	3	5	0	0	8
Jaden Martin	Forward	9	1-4	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Amahrie Simpkins	Guard	13	0-5	0-2	0-1	3	1	1	0	0
Trent Edwards	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Maryland Eastern Shore

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cardell Bailey	G	27	9-18	4-9	5-5	5	1	4	0	27
KC Shaw	G	31	7-14	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	2	15
Evan Johnson	Guard	35	3-11	3-7	3-4	3	5	0	0	12
Hassan Perkins	G	32	5-9	2-5	0-1	4	4	0	0	12
Trey Hall	F	12	1-2	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	0	4
Ralph Martino Jr.	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Jalen Ware	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	3	0
Christopher Flippin	PF	14	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jose Cuello	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kyrell Shaw	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Maurice Vassel	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency110.9

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

52.9%Effective FG%49.2%

58.3%True Shooting %51.7%

19.3%Turnover Rate20.7%

50.0%Free Throw Rate22.2%

21.2%3-Point Rate39.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Morgan State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.