Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%Utah State

34.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -189

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 78

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricColorado State

65.7MMH Power Index55.4

119.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

16.6Net Efficiency7.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

56.9%Effective FG%58.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

11.4Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Utah State

66—93

Colorado State

Colorado State by 27 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATColorado State

23-54FG32-55

43.0%FG%58.0%

7-213PT14-21

33.0%3PT%67.0%

13-16FT15-16

81.0%FT%94.0%

25Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists21

9Turnovers9

7Steals4

1Blocks4

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	30	4-9	1-3	8-9	2	1	3	1	17
Deyton Albury	G	18	5-9	2-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	12
Jordy Barnes	G	25	4-6	3-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	11
Tucker Anderson	F	20	2-6	1-4	2-3	2	0	0	0	7
Drake Allen	G	23	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Isaac Johnson	C	6	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Mason Falslev	G	22	2-7	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Isaac Davis	F	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Aubin Gateretse	Center	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Dexter Akanno	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Karson Templin	F	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Jaxon Smith	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	35	10-14	4-5	2-2	6	9	1	2	26
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	25	7-9	3-3	1-2	5	0	0	0	18
Bowen Born	Guard	22	5-7	3-5	5-5	0	2	1	0	18
Kyan Evans	G	19	4-8	3-5	4-4	1	1	0	0	15
Jalen Lake	Guard	28	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	7
Keshawn Williams	G	14	2-5	0-0	1-1	1	2	0	0	5
Rashaan Mbemba	F	18	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	1	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Kyle Jorgensen	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Nikola Djapa	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaden Steppe	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Murphy	Guard	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

104.6Offensive Efficiency147.4

147.4Defensive Efficiency104.6

-42.8Net Efficiency42.8

49.1%Effective FG%70.9%

53.6%True Shooting %74.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

29.6%Free Throw Rate29.1%

38.9%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.