Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.2%Montana State

33.8%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -196

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Projected Total157.6

Projected ScoreSacramento State 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricSacramento State

53.6MMH Power Index43

114.4Offensive Efficiency106.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

9.5Net Efficiency-5.9

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.9

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

68.1Tempo73.2

55.1%Effective FG%48.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

30.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

6.5Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–43.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.7), ball security (14.2–14.7), free throw rate (41.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

87—60

Sacramento State

Montana State by 27 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATSacramento State

34-55FG24-54

62.0%FG%44.0%

14-263PT6-17

54.0%3PT%35.0%

5-8FT6-10

63.0%FT%60.0%

29Rebounds28

5Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists16

10Turnovers14

10Steals4

4Blocks2

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Patterson	Guard	28	9-13	8-12	0-0	5	1	1	0	26
Jabe Mullins	Guard	32	8-12	2-5	2-2	3	3	0	0	20
Patrick McMahon	G	24	6-7	0-0	1-3	5	2	0	1	13
Bryce Zephir	G	19	2-4	0-1	2-2	0	4	1	0	6
Sam Lecholat	Forward	26	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	4	1	1	5
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	18	2-5	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Brian Goracke	Forward	18	2-7	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Chika Nduka	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Jed Miller	G	21	1-1	1-1	0-0	4	8	6	1	3
Calum Rutherfurd	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	27	10-16	2-3	2-4	6	1	0	1	24
Emil Skytta	G	33	6-8	1-2	0-1	6	4	0	0	13
Leo Ricketts	Guard	13	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
EJ Neal Jr.	G	30	2-7	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Bailey Nunn	G	30	2-7	1-3	0-0	0	7	1	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	13	1-4	0-0	2-3	6	2	0	0	4
Lachlan Brewer	G	36	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Michael Wilson	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

136.4Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency136.4

42.3Net Efficiency-42.3

74.5%Effective FG%50.0%

74.0%True Shooting %51.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate22.0%

14.5%Free Throw Rate18.5%

47.3%3-Point Rate31.5%

2.30Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Montana State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.