Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Middle Tennessee

40.3%UTEP

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -148

UTEP

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 74

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreUTEP 72

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricUTEP

52.5MMH Power Index44.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency102.6

105.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.9Net Efficiency-4.5

0.4Strength of Schedule1.7

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

68.8Tempo67.6

52.2%Effective FG%49.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

33.2%Free Throw Rate35.6%

2.7Average Margin-3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–44.4), offensive efficiency (109.6–102.6), defensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.9–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–0.4), free throw rate (35.6–33.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

76—75

UTEP

Middle Tennessee by 1 • 82.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATUTEP

30-78FG27-64

38.0%FG%42.0%

8-373PT5-23

22.0%3PT%22.0%

8-15FT16-22

53.0%FT%73.0%

48Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists16

12Turnovers12

6Steals7

3Blocks5

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Essam Mostafa	Forward	35	6-9	1-2	3-4	16	2	2	2	16
Camryn Weston	Guard	37	5-12	0-3	1-2	5	4	0	0	11
Jlynn Counter	G	29	4-9	3-8	0-0	4	2	1	1	11
Kamari Lands	G	26	4-13	2-7	1-4	3	4	2	0	11
Tre Green	G	19	3-8	1-6	2-3	2	0	0	0	9
Jestin Porter	G	30	3-13	1-6	0-0	7	0	0	0	7
Torey Alston	F	20	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Justin Bufford	Guard	19	2-7	0-4	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Chris Loofe	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Kalu	Forward	33	8-11	0-0	10-11	9	0	1	1	26
Ahamad Bynum	Guard	29	6-14	4-11	0-0	5	1	2	0	16
Otis Frazier III	Forward	35	4-11	0-3	5-9	11	3	2	1	13
Corey Camper Jr.	G	38	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	7
Devon Barnes	G	19	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	4
David Terrell Jr.	G	37	1-4	0-0	1-2	3	6	1	0	3
Elijah Jones	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Derick Hamilton	Forward	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
KJ Thomas	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Baylor Hebb	Guard	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.3Possessions82.3

92.3Offensive Efficiency91.1

91.1Defensive Efficiency92.3

1.2Net Efficiency-1.2

43.6%Effective FG%46.1%

44.6%True Shooting %50.4%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

19.2%Free Throw Rate34.4%

47.4%3-Point Rate35.9%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 82.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.