Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Houston Christian

67.0%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -203

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 65

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 71

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricNorthwestern State

39.5MMH Power Index41.3

102.5Offensive Efficiency104.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

-7.8Net Efficiency-5.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

65.4Tempo63.6

49.9%Effective FG%49.5%

19.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

37.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-5.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.5), offensive efficiency (104.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (-5.0–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.6), shooting efficiency (49.9–49.5), offensive rebounding (30.5–27.1).

Final

Houston Christian

56—61

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 5 • 59.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATNorthwestern State

21-56FG20-46

38.0%FG%43.0%

5-213PT6-17

24.0%3PT%35.0%

9-12FT15-19

75.0%FT%79.0%

29Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists9

10Turnovers15

9Steals5

2Blocks2

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryson Dawkins	G	38	8-18	0-4	2-2	5	0	2	1	18
D'Aundre Samuels	G	21	4-9	1-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	11
Elijah Brooks	G	31	2-6	0-0	5-6	2	4	2	0	9
Trent Johnson	F	29	3-4	2-3	0-0	8	1	3	0	8
Peyton Rogers	Forward	38	3-6	1-1	0-1	7	0	1	0	7
Julian Mackey	G	27	1-11	1-6	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Porter Bazil	SF	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
Pierce Bazil	PG	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Addison Patterson	F	32	9-15	2-5	6-8	2	2	1	0	26
Jon Sanders II	G	17	2-5	1-2	5-6	2	2	0	0	10
Micah Thomas	G	33	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	7
Landyn Jumawan	G	20	2-4	1-3	2-3	1	2	1	0	7
Willie Williams	F	35	2-7	0-0	0-0	9	2	1	2	4
Jerald Colonel	F	29	2-3	0-0	0-0	14	0	0	0	4
JT Warren	Forward	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Love Bettis	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Justin Redmond	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Mubiru	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.4Possessions59.4

94.3Offensive Efficiency102.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency94.3

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

42.0%Effective FG%50.0%

45.4%True Shooting %55.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate25.4%

21.4%Free Throw Rate41.3%

37.5%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.