Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Western Carolina

65.3%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -188

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 77

Projected Total160.7

Projected ScoreMercer 84

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricMercer

53MMH Power Index54.1

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.5

1.6Net Efficiency10.1

-0.9Strength of Schedule-4.4

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

69.7Tempo70.9

51.1%Effective FG%53.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

1.1Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–53.0), offensive efficiency (116.6–112.6), defensive efficiency (106.5–111.0), net efficiency (10.1–1.6).

Western Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.9–-4.4), recent form (13.1–1.2), offensive rebounding (36.1–33.6).

Final

Western Carolina

69—81

Mercer

Mercer by 12 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATMercer

24-64FG26-65

38.0%FG%40.0%

11-313PT13-27

35.0%3PT%48.0%

10-15FT16-24

67.0%FT%67.0%

40Rebounds48

8Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists19

8Turnovers8

5Steals6

4Blocks8

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernard Pelote	Forward	30	6-14	3-8	2-2	5	1	0	0	17
Marcus Kell	F	32	5-16	1-8	4-4	11	0	0	0	15
Cord Stansberry	G	31	4-6	2-4	2-3	5	2	1	1	12
Chevalier Emery	G	29	3-6	2-3	0-1	0	3	2	0	8
Fischer Brown	G	20	2-6	2-6	0-2	3	3	1	1	6
Brandon Morgan	G	21	2-6	1-2	0-1	4	2	0	0	5
Chase McKey	F	22	2-6	0-0	0-0	6	2	1	1	4
Vernon Collins	F	15	0-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	1	2

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	32	9-20	4-8	6-9	5	3	0	0	28
Alex Holt	Forward	27	4-8	0-0	4-6	8	3	1	6	12
Tyler Johnson	Guard	37	3-10	3-5	2-2	4	4	2	0	11
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	24	3-5	3-5	2-3	6	4	1	0	11
Brady Shoulders	G	16	2-2	2-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Jah Quinones	Guard	19	2-7	1-3	0-0	6	4	0	0	5
Marcus Overstreet	F	12	1-6	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	2	3
Angel Montas Jr.	G	8	1-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Cam Bryant	Forward	25	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

96.1Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency96.1

-16.7Net Efficiency16.7

46.1%Effective FG%50.0%

48.5%True Shooting %53.0%

11.2%Turnover Rate11.0%

23.4%Free Throw Rate36.9%

48.4%3-Point Rate41.5%

1.75Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Mercer won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.