Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Cal State Bakersfield

89.1%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL165.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -817

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 76

Projected Total165.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 90

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricCal Poly

32.2MMH Power Index46.5

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

-12.4Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule1.7

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

73.0Tempo76.6

46.4%Effective FG%52.2%

18.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-9.1Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.6), net efficiency (-3.8–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHball security (18.6–19.8), offensive rebounding (30.2–29.9), free throw rate (43.8–35.8).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

72—98

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 26 • 78.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATCal Poly

27-70FG32-57

39.0%FG%56.0%

5-193PT14-35

26.0%3PT%40.0%

13-18FT20-21

72.0%FT%95.0%

36Rebounds35

20Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists14

20Turnovers21

10Steals12

2Blocks7

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marvin McGhee III	G	20	6-11	4-8	2-2	1	1	0	0	18
Jemel Jones	G	29	7-16	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	14
Jaden Alexander	G	28	6-12	1-2	1-2	7	0	0	0	14
Kadar Waller	G	30	3-8	0-2	6-7	6	3	3	0	12
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	2	6
Corey Stephenson	G	18	2-10	0-1	0-0	6	0	2	0	4
CJ Hardy	G	25	1-3	0-1	0-2	3	3	4	0	2
Tom Mark	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Marvin McGhee IV	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Colin Darby	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Clark	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Jessup	Guard	26	7-10	7-10	0-0	3	1	0	0	21
Jarred Hyder	Guard	29	6-12	2-7	0-0	5	4	1	0	14
Owen Koonce	Guard	26	5-8	2-5	2-2	3	3	1	1	14
Peter Bandelj	G	25	2-4	0-2	10-10	3	0	1	0	14
Cayden Ward	G	18	4-7	1-4	5-5	2	1	1	2	14
Guzman Vasilic	G	25	3-6	2-5	0-0	4	3	1	0	8
Luka Tarlac	G	15	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	6	2	4
Mac Riniker	Guard	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	4
Paul Bizimana	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaac Spears	Guard	3	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Hayden Jory	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Eric Brown	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.3Possessions78.3

92.0Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency92.0

-33.2Net Efficiency33.2

42.1%Effective FG%68.4%

45.8%True Shooting %73.2%

25.5%Turnover Rate26.9%

25.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

27.1%3-Point Rate61.4%

0.45Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 78.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.