Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.2%Western Michigan

26.8%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -273

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 79

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 74

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricNorthern Illinois

42.8MMH Power Index29.2

106.9Offensive Efficiency99.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

-6.7Net Efficiency-11.9

2.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

69.9Tempo69.7

50.3%Effective FG%48.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-4.7Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–29.2), offensive efficiency (106.9–99.7), net efficiency (-6.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (2.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–113.6), offensive rebounding (31.7–31.0), free throw rate (39.6–34.6).

Final

Western Michigan

74—70

Northern Illinois

Western Michigan by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

27-62FG26-53

44.0%FG%49.0%

9-243PT14-30

38.0%3PT%47.0%

11-18FT4-11

61.0%FT%36.0%

41Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists17

8Turnovers14

9Steals5

1Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chansey Willis Jr.	G	36	6-16	1-6	4-5	5	7	2	0	17
Markhi Strickland	G	33	5-13	1-1	3-6	4	0	2	0	14
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	17	3-6	3-5	3-4	7	0	0	0	12
Donovan Williams	Guard	36	4-9	2-3	0-2	11	2	3	0	10
JaVaughn Hannah	G	36	3-11	0-6	1-1	5	1	2	1	7
Brandon Muntu	G	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Max Burton	F	25	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
EJ Ryans	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Seryee Lewis	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	40	10-17	5-7	0-1	8	5	2	1	25
Tsvet Sotirov	F	39	3-7	3-7	1-2	8	1	1	0	10
James Dent Jr.	G	39	3-13	1-8	2-5	2	6	1	1	9
Kailon Nicholls	G	14	3-3	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Nas Muhammad	G	25	2-6	1-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	16	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	2	1	1	5
Jayden Mott	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	0	4
Steven Tipton	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency104.6

104.6Defensive Efficiency110.6

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

50.8%Effective FG%62.3%

52.4%True Shooting %60.1%

12.2%Turnover Rate20.5%

29.0%Free Throw Rate20.8%

38.7%3-Point Rate56.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Western Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.