Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Pennsylvania

59.8%Columbia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColumbia -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColumbia -149

Columbia

16-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 73

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreColumbia 78

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricColumbia

52.9MMH Power Index51.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

2.2Net Efficiency7.2

1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.4

69.9Tempo68.2

50.9%Effective FG%54.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.5Average Margin5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Columbia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColumbia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–106.4), net efficiency (7.2–2.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.9).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.9–51.9), strength of schedule (1.9–-1.7), recent form (2.3–-2.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

92—87

Columbia

Pennsylvania by 5 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATColumbia

32-58FG32-74

55.0%FG%43.0%

11-253PT10-31

44.0%3PT%32.0%

17-19FT13-18

89.0%FT%72.0%

33Rebounds38

2Offensive Rebounds14

21Assists26

9Turnovers7

7Steals4

3Blocks2

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Brown	G	36	14-20	4-6	10-11	3	4	0	0	42
Nick Spinoso	Forward	25	7-10	1-1	1-1	7	5	1	3	16
Ethan Roberts	F	34	4-12	3-9	2-2	5	4	2	0	13
Dylan Williams	G	35	3-8	1-5	2-2	1	4	1	0	9
George Smith	Guard	35	2-5	2-4	1-2	5	2	2	0	7
Johnnie Walter	F	4	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Augustus Gerhart	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Niklas Polonowski	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Michael Zanoni	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenny Noland	G	35	8-11	4-7	1-1	2	2	1	0	21
Blair Thompson	F	27	6-11	2-6	4-4	12	3	1	1	18
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa	Guard	29	5-15	2-9	1-2	2	3	1	0	13
Jake Tavroff	Forward	18	4-5	0-0	1-2	2	5	0	1	9
Zine Eddine Bedri	F	20	3-9	0-1	2-5	6	2	1	0	8
Avery Brown	G	29	2-12	0-0	3-3	2	5	0	0	7
Noah Robledo	Forward	13	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Gerard O'Keefe	G	14	2-6	0-4	1-1	2	2	0	0	5
Gianni Cobb	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	0
Robbie Stankard	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mason Ritter	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

123.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency123.0

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

64.7%Effective FG%50.0%

68.6%True Shooting %52.7%

12.2%Turnover Rate9.3%

32.8%Free Throw Rate24.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate41.9%

2.33Assist / Turnover3.71

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.