Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Central Connecticut

58.5%Wagner

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -141

Wagner

14-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 71

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreWagner 74

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricWagner

44.4MMH Power Index42.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency105.5

107.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

4.4Net Efficiency-0.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.0

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

66.3Tempo67.6

54.0%Effective FG%50.2%

15.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate31.6%

2.9Average Margin-0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Central Connecticut

55—48

Wagner

Central Connecticut by 7 • 55.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATWagner

17-45FG21-53

38.0%FG%40.0%

5-163PT5-20

31.0%3PT%25.0%

16-22FT1-5

73.0%FT%20.0%

30Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists11

4Turnovers12

6Steals4

3Blocks5

12Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Haid	G	31	5-9	2-4	3-4	4	0	0	0	15
Jordan Jones	Guard	31	5-9	1-3	4-4	3	2	0	0	15
Darin Smith Jr.	F	26	3-5	1-1	5-6	7	1	1	0	12
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	23	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	23	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	0	4
Abdul Momoh	F	30	0-4	0-0	2-6	8	1	1	2	2
Jaelen McGlone	Guard	12	1-6	0-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jayden Brown	Forward	21	0-7	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Max Frazier	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zae Blake	G	29	7-13	3-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	17
Churchill Bounds	F	23	6-8	0-0	1-4	4	1	1	3	13
Zaire Williams	G	27	2-7	1-3	0-1	2	1	0	1	5
Tyje Kelton	F	29	2-8	0-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	16	2-4	0-1	0-0	6	0	1	0	4
Javier Ezquerra	G	37	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	5	1	0	3
Keyontae Lewis	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Zavier Fitch	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
R.J. Greene	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

55.5Possessions55.5

99.1Offensive Efficiency86.5

86.5Defensive Efficiency99.1

12.6Net Efficiency-12.6

43.3%Effective FG%44.3%

49.6%True Shooting %43.3%

7.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

48.9%Free Throw Rate9.4%

35.6%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 55.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.