Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.5%Boise State

29.5%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -239

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricFresno State

59.5MMH Power Index47.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency104.9

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

6.8Net Efficiency0.0

4.2Strength of Schedule1.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

52.7%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.7%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.7Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–47.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–104.9), net efficiency (6.8–0.0), strength of schedule (4.2–1.5).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–107.1).

Final

Boise State

66—61

Fresno State

Boise State by 5 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATFresno State

21-56FG22-59

38.0%FG%37.0%

7-293PT6-19

24.0%3PT%32.0%

17-20FT11-16

85.0%FT%69.0%

43Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists3

11Turnovers8

5Steals5

5Blocks2

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Meadow	F	36	7-17	2-9	6-7	6	0	0	0	22
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	35	5-10	2-4	2-3	11	3	2	0	14
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	36	3-10	2-7	2-2	9	6	1	0	10
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	12	2-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	2	6
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Javan Buchanan	F	17	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	2	4
RJ Keene II	G	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	3
Pearson Carmichael	F	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Julian Bowie	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasir Tremble	Guard	30	8-18	3-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	19
Brian Amuneke	G	33	5-12	3-7	4-5	1	0	0	0	17
Zaon Collins	G	39	6-13	0-2	2-4	6	2	2	0	14
Elijah Price	F	33	2-6	0-0	2-3	11	0	1	2	6
Mor Seck	C	25	0-4	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	0	3
Alex Crawford	F	29	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

109.8Offensive Efficiency101.5

101.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.3Net Efficiency-8.3

43.8%Effective FG%42.4%

50.4%True Shooting %45.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate13.2%

35.7%Free Throw Rate27.1%

51.8%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.38

Game Summary

Boise State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.