UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%UC Santa Barbara

58.7%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -142

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 78

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Northridge

51.4MMH Power Index50

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

106.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.1Net Efficiency2.1

-2.0Strength of Schedule-0.6

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.5Tempo75.9

54.8%Effective FG%51.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.7%

4.8Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.3), net efficiency (7.1–2.1), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.0).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.0), recent form (1.8–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

77—103

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 26 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Northridge

20-51FG34-60

39.0%FG%57.0%

12-343PT5-13

35.0%3PT%38.0%

25-28FT30-31

89.0%FT%97.0%

19Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists17

12Turnovers9

6Steals6

4Blocks2

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Fontenet II	G	33	5-13	3-8	5-5	3	3	1	1	18
Stephan Swenson	Guard	28	4-10	3-7	4-5	1	3	2	0	15
Colin Smith	F	21	2-4	2-3	6-6	2	0	0	1	12
Cole Anderson	Guard	27	2-7	2-6	3-4	2	1	0	0	9
Deuce Turner	G	26	3-7	0-3	2-2	0	1	0	1	8
Zion Sensley	G	15	2-6	2-6	1-2	2	0	1	0	7
Max Murrell	Forward	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	1	4
Evans Kipruto	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Ben Shtolzberg	G	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Kenny Pohto	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ariel Bland	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	26	8-11	0-0	7-7	3	1	1	1	23
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	31	7-14	0-3	6-6	4	1	1	0	20
Keonte Jones	G	30	6-9	0-0	4-4	6	6	1	1	16
Grady Lewis	F	22	5-7	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	14
Tyler Beard	Guard	26	3-7	1-4	3-4	3	5	1	0	10
Mahmoud Fofana	F	23	2-4	1-1	4-4	8	1	0	0	9
PJ Fuller II	Guard	29	2-5	2-3	2-2	3	2	2	0	8
Robert Thibiant	G	2	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Judson Martindale	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

106.2Offensive Efficiency142.1

142.1Defensive Efficiency106.2

-35.9Net Efficiency35.9

51.0%Effective FG%60.8%

59.9%True Shooting %68.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.4%

54.9%Free Throw Rate51.7%

66.7%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.