Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.6%Northern Colorado

20.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -390

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 82

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 74

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricNorthern Arizona

53.7MMH Power Index36.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency114.8

8.4Net Efficiency-7.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.8

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

71.1Tempo66.6

56.9%Effective FG%53.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

27.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–36.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–114.8), net efficiency (8.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-4.3), free throw rate (33.6–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

83—73

Northern Arizona

Northern Colorado by 10 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

30-48FG27-57

63.0%FG%47.0%

7-133PT7-15

54.0%3PT%47.0%

16-24FT12-19

67.0%FT%63.0%

29Rebounds28

4Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists8

14Turnovers13

5Steals8

1Blocks1

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	35	7-9	0-0	6-8	5	2	1	0	20
Jaron Rillie	Guard	35	8-12	4-4	0-0	7	2	1	0	20
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	29	6-9	1-3	3-5	3	0	0	0	16
Brock Wisne	F	28	5-7	0-0	3-7	4	1	1	0	13
Zach Bloch	G	30	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Quinn Denker	G	20	1-4	1-3	2-2	4	3	1	0	5
Marcell McCreary	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Taeshaud Jackson	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Egan Shields	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	39	13-23	5-10	4-7	4	3	3	1	35
Jayden Jackson	G	34	5-9	1-1	4-5	0	1	1	0	15
Carson Towt	F	39	3-9	0-0	3-6	14	3	4	0	9
Ryan Abelman	G	31	2-8	1-4	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Dillan Baker	G	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ali Ragab	Center	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Monty Bowser	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Oakland Fort	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

119.1Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency119.1

14.3Net Efficiency-14.3

69.8%Effective FG%53.5%

69.9%True Shooting %55.3%

20.2%Turnover Rate18.6%

50.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

27.1%3-Point Rate26.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.