Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Cal State Fullerton

72.2%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -260

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 75

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 83

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC San Diego

49.4MMH Power Index53.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency108.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency100.7

1.7Net Efficiency7.7

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.3

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

76.3Tempo69.8

52.6%Effective FG%53.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.3Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–107.1), net efficiency (7.7–1.7), recent form (5.4–2.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–108.4), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.3), ball security (15.1–16.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

55—100

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 45 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC San Diego

19-51FG37-70

37.0%FG%53.0%

6-203PT18-40

30.0%3PT%45.0%

11-16FT8-9

69.0%FT%89.0%

34Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists28

20Turnovers4

2Steals12

1Blocks2

7Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Antwan Robinson	Guard	32	5-13	3-8	0-0	10	0	0	0	13
Kobe Young	Guard	24	4-7	1-2	2-3	5	3	0	0	11
Donovan Oday	G	34	2-12	1-5	5-6	6	0	2	0	10
Kendrick De Luna	F	29	4-7	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	1	10
Keith Richard	Guard	28	2-5	1-3	1-3	2	3	0	0	6
Zachary Visentin	Center	11	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	27	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Kaleb Brown	G	15	0-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	18	8-10	1-2	4-4	5	4	3	0	21
Tyler McGhie	Guard	22	4-12	4-11	1-2	5	4	2	0	13
Hayden Gray	Guard	26	4-7	2-4	1-1	2	3	2	0	11
Justin Rochelin	G	20	4-8	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	11
Nordin Kapic	F	18	3-9	1-4	2-2	6	1	1	2	9
Chris Howell	G	22	3-6	2-4	0-0	2	5	2	0	8
Jasen Brooks	G	13	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Cade Pendleton	F	10	3-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Ryder Elisaldez	G	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	5
Maximo Milovich	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	4
Aidan Burke	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

76.0Offensive Efficiency138.1

138.1Defensive Efficiency76.0

-62.2Net Efficiency62.2

43.1%Effective FG%65.7%

46.9%True Shooting %67.3%

27.9%Turnover Rate5.5%

31.4%Free Throw Rate12.9%

39.2%3-Point Rate57.1%

0.40Assist / Turnover7.00

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 45 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.