UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.5%UC Davis

76.5%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -326

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreHawai'i 82

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricHawai'i

48.4MMH Power Index54.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency97.0

3.5Net Efficiency12.4

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

72.4Tempo72.8

52.3%Effective FG%52.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

41.5%Free Throw Rate43.4%

2.5Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.7), net efficiency (12.4–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.9–-2.8), recent form (-0.1–-1.8), ball security (17.7–18.4).

Final

UC Davis

70—78

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 8 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATHawai'i

23-61FG24-49

38.0%FG%49.0%

5-183PT7-18

28.0%3PT%39.0%

19-24FT23-30

79.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists14

5Turnovers13

10Steals1

4Blocks2

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	36	10-26	2-6	4-6	3	2	3	0	26
Pablo Tamba	F	32	6-11	1-1	6-6	9	2	1	0	19
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	17	4-7	1-2	2-4	4	1	3	1	11
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	27	0-6	0-3	5-6	1	2	2	0	5
Niko Rocak	F	27	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Connor Sevilla	G	36	1-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nils Cooper	G	15	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	2
Jamaal Unuakhalu	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tanner Christensen	Center	33	5-7	2-3	4-5	9	2	0	0	16
Tom Beattie	G	33	4-7	1-3	3-4	6	2	0	0	12
Akira Jacobs	F	16	4-6	1-2	3-3	3	0	0	0	12
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	23	3-7	0-1	4-4	6	1	0	1	10
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	17	3-7	1-3	3-4	3	0	0	0	10
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor	G	32	2-5	1-2	3-5	7	6	0	1	8
Marcus Greene	G	15	2-3	1-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	6
Ryan Rapp	Guard	30	1-7	0-3	2-3	2	1	1	0	4
Jerome Palm	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency99.4

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

41.8%Effective FG%56.1%

48.3%True Shooting %61.7%

7.1%Turnover Rate18.5%

39.3%Free Throw Rate61.2%

29.5%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.