Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Southern Illinois

34.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -187

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 75

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricIndiana State

54.6MMH Power Index44.4

103.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

98.5Defensive Efficiency106.0

4.9Net Efficiency-1.3

1.6Strength of Schedule0.1

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

70.6Tempo70.3

49.5%Effective FG%53.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

3.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–44.4), defensive efficiency (98.5–106.0), net efficiency (4.9–-1.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (104.7–103.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–49.5).

Final

Southern Illinois

77—95

Indiana State

Indiana State by 18 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATIndiana State

27-60FG35-59

45.0%FG%59.0%

5-183PT12-29

28.0%3PT%41.0%

18-33FT13-21

55.0%FT%62.0%

29Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists23

5Turnovers13

9Steals3

3Blocks—

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	29	6-13	1-4	6-9	2	2	0	0	19
Drew Steffe	G	33	4-10	2-6	2-2	3	3	1	0	12
Davion Sykes	G	23	6-6	0-0	0-2	2	0	2	1	12
Ali Dibba	G	31	4-10	1-3	2-8	2	2	3	0	11
Rolyns Aligbe	F	20	2-3	1-1	2-4	8	0	1	0	7
Sheridan Sharp	G	9	3-5	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	7
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	21	1-6	0-3	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	18	1-4	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Jorge Moreno	F	16	0-3	0-0	2-2	7	0	1	2	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	29	6-10	3-5	5-5	4	6	0	20
Camp Wagner	G	33	6-10	6-10	0-0	3	2	0	18
Aaron Gray	Forward	26	7-11	1-5	3-6	11	0	0	18
Jaden Daughtry	F	12	7-8	1-1	0-5	1	3	1	15
Derek Vorst	C	16	2-6	0-2	3-3	2	3	0	7
Josiah LeGree	G	11	2-4	0-2	2-2	3	3	1	6
Markus Harding	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4
Bruno Alocen	G	18	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	3
K'mani Doughty	Guard	33	1-4	0-2	0-0	9	5	0	2
Merritt Alderink	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Jayan Walker	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jahni Summers	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Bean	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

102.8Offensive Efficiency126.8

126.8Defensive Efficiency102.8

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

49.2%Effective FG%69.5%

50.9%True Shooting %68.9%

6.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

55.0%Free Throw Rate35.6%

30.0%3-Point Rate49.2%

2.20Assist / Turnover1.77

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.